Doro: Cash machine
Research Update
2024-07-18
07:45
Analyst Q&A
Closed
Fredrik Reuterhäll answered 4 questions.
Doro delivered better than expected Q2 report on all key metrics. Improved profitability, strong cash flows and large net cash position, we are looking forward to see what the new CEO will bring to the table. We still believe Germany remains a key area to support future growth for Doro.
Fredrik Reuterhäll
Niklas Sävås
Contents
Q2 2024
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Net sales were up 1.8% y/y to SEK206,7m. This was above our estimates of SEK199m. West Europe was particularly strong, 19% y/y to SEK87m due to a strong market in France, while Nordics continues to struggle, -13% to SEK49m. Gross margin continue to improve and was 44.6%, driven by good product mix and lower freight cost, it was higher than our estimate of 39%. EBIT came in at SEK12,6m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 6.1% (flat last year). Operating cash flow after the change in working capital SEK44.2m (SEK21.6m).
Marketing expenses for H2 2024 are expected to rise with new product launches. Germany is a key growth driver, as Doro aims to increase market share, benefiting when the shift from 2G to 4G starts. With excess cash on the balance sheet, efficient capital allocation and top line growth is crucial for revaluing the company.
We are make small adjustments for 2024 after better topline growth in the quarter. We increase the gross margin by 1 to 2 ppt after management's optimistic view on profitability to 42% 2024e and 41% (40%) in the long run. Our valuation range is raised c7% to SEK16 (15) and SEK41 (39), with a Base Case of SEK31 (29). Doro trades at an EV/Ebit multiple of 5.3x 2024E. The balance sheet is very strong, with a net cash position of SEK191m. Redeye still believes it presents an attractive investment at these levels with a potential upside of c35% to our Base Case.
SEKm | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e |
Revenues | 909.2 | 973.1 | 968.7 | 1,007.5 | 1,047.8 |
Revenue Growth | -12.5% | 7.0% | -0.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
EBITDA | 100.1 | 119.9 | 116.6 | 117.6 | 152.1 |
EBIT | 55.1 | 68.2 | 70.3 | 77.2 | 110.0 |
EBIT Margin | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% |
Net Income | 40.6 | 32.0 | 69.4 | 53.3 | 79.4 |
EV/Sales | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
EV/EBIT | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
Disclosures and disclaimers
Contents
Q2 2024
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