Doro: The last call?
Research Update
2024-10-28
07:52
Analyst Q&A
Closed
Fredrik Reuterhäll answered 2 questions.
Doro delivered solid gross and operating margins in the quarter. However, tough comparables and delay in delivery of Leva feature phones led to a 20% decline, bringing sales down to SEK218m. Very high gross margin pushed up the operating margin to 13.9% despite decline in sales. The current bid of SEK34 supports the stock price and the acceptance period is to ends around November 8.
Fredrik Reuterhäll
Niklas Sävås
Contents
Q3 2024
Download article
Net sales were down 20% y/y to SEK218m, below our estimates of SEK259m. One reason was tough comps after Q3-23, which were strong due to the migration into 4G. Order intake was down to SEK224m, -19% from Q3-23, and the order book came in at SEK79m, -27% y/y due to delays in the new feature phone Leva product series. Gross margin continued to impress, reaching 50%, which was higher than our estimate of 45%. However, a higher-than-expected royalty payment and inventory depreciation boosted the gross margin in the quarter, and it should be seen as a one-off. EBIT came in at SEK30m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 13.9% (14% last year).
Norwegian company Xplora Technologies has bid to acquire Doro on 26 September, valuing the deal at approximately SEK 830m, or SEK 34 per share. This represented a 38% premium over Doro's closing price of May 25th. Xplora, a company focused on smartwatches for children, aims to expand into the senior market by acquiring Doro. The deal is conditional upon Xplora acquiring more than 90% of Doro's shares, with the company's board recommending shareholders to accept the offer. The acceptance period for the offer is estimated to end around 8 November 2024.
We are reiterating our valuation range SEK16-37, with a Base Case of SEK31. Doro trades at an EV/Ebit multiple of 7.5x 2024E.
SEKm | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e |
Revenues | 909.2 | 973.1 | 899.9 | 935.9 | 973.3 |
Revenue Growth | -12.5% | 7.0% | -7.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
EBITDA | 100.1 | 119.9 | 122.5 | 111.9 | 160.7 |
EBIT | 55.1 | 68.2 | 81.7 | 74.4 | 121.7 |
EBIT Margin | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.5% |
Net Income | 40.6 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 51.1 | 88.7 |
EV/Sales | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
EV/EBIT | 5.1 | 5.1 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 |
Disclosures and disclaimers
Contents
Q3 2024
Download article