BioInvent Q3 2024: New Positive BI-1206 SC Data

Research Update

2024-11-01

10:30

Analyst Q&A

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Richard Ramanius answered 6 questions.

Redeye comments on BioInvent's Q3 report, which presented new data for the subcutaneous version of BI-1206 in combination with rituximab in lymphoma.

Richard Ramanius

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BI-1206 SC Data

Data from nine patients in the phase I SC part was presented in the Q3 report. Two complete responses, three partial responses and three stable diseases have been observed. This translates to a disease control rate of (89%), a response rate of 56% and a complete response rate of 22%. Considering the early stage of treatment, this appears a bit better than the results with the intravenous version (DCR 71%, ORR 35%, CR 29% as of May 2024). Infusion-related events are avoided.

BI-1206 triple combination and BI-1808

The study of the triple combination of BI-1206+rituximab+acalabrutinib in lymphoma has started recruitment and BioInvent plans to present the first data late in 2024. This study is progressing quickly. BI-1206 would be a good match with acalabrutinib, so we think there is potential for a deal with AstraZeneca upon strong results from the next readout in mid-2025. The triplet might compete with CAR-T and bispecifics, with less toxicity. BioInvent plans to present new data with BI-1808 as monotherapy by year-end. We are particularly intrigued by the CTCL indication, which is caused by mutated Tregs with high expression of TNFR2, which causes uncontrolled cell division. BI-1808, thus, in theory, hits at the root cause of the disease. Based on the first four evaluable patients, the ORR was 75%, which is favourable versus the 35% of standard treatments.

We restate our base case of SEK90

We have made several changes to our valuation (see the section Valuation below), including significantly increasing the value of the five out-licensed programmes and adding a year to the BI-1206 and BI-1607 programmes. The resulting base case remains SEK90. The cash position is almost SEK1bn, which will fund the company into 2026 (through Q1, according to guidance). A deal with BI-1808 upon strong CTCL data could add to the cash position in 2025. 2025 will be a year with several important readouts (discussed below) that could result in a deal or increased share price that would enable an equity issue (probably directed) with limited dilution.

Key financials

SEKm20232024e2025e2026e
Revenues71.530.0588.6577.7
Revenue Growth-78.1%-58.0%1862%-1.8%
EBITDA-369.9-474.5-0.8817.8
EBIT-369.9-474.5-0.8817.8
EBIT Margin-518%-1582%-0.1%3.1%
Net Income-330.3-431.9-0.8821.8
EV/EBIT-1.8-2.3-1,29362.2

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