Maximum Entertainment: Focus on improving the balance sheet

Research Update

2024-12-04

07:39

Redeye updates on Maximum Entertainment following its Q3-results which were weaker than expected. Furthermore, the company announced that it has breached its debt covenants, which in addition to the ongoing arbitration of earnout payments, adds to the uncertainty around the balance sheet. Maximum Entertainment has increased its focus on reducing its debt and improving cash flow by targeting more cost savings and investments with faster payback, while it is also considering divestments.

Hjalmar Ahlberg

Tomas Otterbeck

Weak Q3-results

Maximum Entertaiment’s Q3-results were weaker than expected owing to a lower than expected topline and a soft gross margin. The company carried out write-downs of EUR13.2m which also impacted negatively, although underlying opex was largely as expected. Cash flow from operations was positive, supported by changes in working capital.

Targeting improved cash flow by cost savings and investments with faster paybacks

In connection with the Q3-results, Maximum Entertainment also announced that it has breached its loan covenants. This adds further uncertainty around company’s financial position, where it is also in arbitration with the sellers of Maximum Games regarding an earnout payment. On the back of the constrained balance sheet, the company has increased its focus on cash flow generation, targeting cost savings and investments with faster paybacks.

Lowered estimates, valuation remains under review

While we believe Maximum Entertainments focus on cash generation makes sense, we have also lowered our estimates as topline growth will likely be somewhat lower than we earlier anticipated. We see potential for the company to continue improving balance between cash flow and investments, and potential divestments could reduce risk for the need of an equity issue. Coming to our valuation range, we leave it under review given the uncertainty around Maximum Entertainment’s balance sheet owing to the covenant breach and the dispute around earnout payments to the sellers of Maximum Games.

Key financials

EURm202220232024e2025e2026e
Total Revenue112.799.985.391.798.6
Revenue Growth121%-11.4%-14.5%7.5%7.5%
EBITDA9.212.16.312.515.9
EBIT6.46.7-15.54.56.9
EBIT Margin6.0%6.7%-18.2%4.9%7.0%
Net Income-7.4-17.5-22.70.392.9
EV/Sales0.40.60.50.50.4
EV/EBITDA4.24.66.73.52.6
EV/EBIT5.98.3-2.79.76.1

Weak Q3-results

Maximum Entertainment reported revenue of EUR17.2m and EBITDA of -EUR0.2m, which was below our estimates of EUR23.3m and EUR3.1m, respectively. The lower-than-expected result was driven by the soft topline and a lower-than-expected gross margin which came in at 24% while we estimated 36%. Excluding a write-down of EUR13.2m owing to cancelled games and underperforming titles, underlying opex was close to our expectations. The company had a cash flow from operations of EUR2.7m, positively affected by changes in working capital, while capex was EUR3.2m. Cash balance was EUR1.9m at the end of Q3 while net debt excluding earnouts was EUR38.3m and EUR56.2m including earnouts.

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