Strax: Execution the on strategic plan

Research Update

2023-02-27

07:00

Redeye has provided an update on Strax's Q4 2022 report and the management team's strategic plan for 2023. The team is highly skilled, and we believe that they will execute the plan successfully, which should result in a turnaround for the company.

Fredrik Reuterhäll

Jesper Von Koch

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Review of Q4 2022

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The plan is set, now execute on it

A strategic plan has been developed and is set to be implemented this year, aimed at paying off debt and optimizing the business. Strax intends to concentrate on four core brands and is considering selling a majority stake in its stable and profitable distribution business to generate funds. We anticipate that Strax has the potential to be a compelling turnaround story, with a highly skilled management team that we believe can successfully execute this plan.

North American market offers big potential

Given its robust market presence in North America, Strax intends to continue its marketing and sales efforts in the US and Canada. The company will place a premium on promoting its own brands, specifically Urbanista, Clckr, Planet Buddies, and Richmond&Finch. Among these brands, Clckr, which has already established itself in over 10,000 stores, provides an exceptional foundation for reaching a wide-ranging customer base and supporting further growth.

Small adjustments in the fair value range

The estimates provided by Redeye do not warrant any significant adjustments to our fair value range. Our base case value stands at SEK 2.8 (2.9), with a bear case of SEK 0.6 (0.9) and a more optimistic bull case of SEK 6. (6.1). Our SOTP valuation of SEK 4.90 falls within this valuation range.

Key financials

SEKm20222023e2024e2025e
Revenues104.4104.1113.6124.4
Revenue Growth-15.6%-0.3%9.2%9.4%
EBITDA-0.93-2.13.46.8
EBIT-2.6-3.12.36.2
EBIT Margin-2.4%-3.0%2.0%5.0%
Net Income-19.6-2.5-3.43.7
EV/EBIT-7.4-5.98.33.1

Review of Q4 2022

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Contents

Review of Q4 2022

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