Netmore: Q1 2023 review

Research Update

2023-05-02

07:34

Redeye provides an update following Netmore's Q1 2023 report, highlighting the company's record-breaking order intake and its expansion into Poland and France. Additionally, Netmore has secured a deal with Kumbro Stadsnät and strengthened its financial resources. These developments, along with the company's growing list of partnerships, indicate that Netmore’s rapid expansion is ongoing. While we have updated our forecast, we maintain our valuation range and base case.

Alexander Flening

Mats Hyttinge

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Q1 2023: Financial review

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Impressive sales growth

In the first quarter of 2023, Netmore recorded impressive net sales of SEK16.3m, representing a y/y growth of 48%. This achievement was primarily driven by the company's IoT and Property segments. It is noteworthy, however, that a significant portion of the revenue was non-recurring, a trend that was also observed in the preceding quarter. We attribute this to the ongoing geographical expansion and roll-out of infrastructure. Thus, we anticipate an increase in recurring revenues as the infrastructure becomes fully operational, and sensors get connected.

Continued expansion and record-breaking sensor growth

Netmore is experiencing impressive sales growth and geographical expansion, evidenced by its recent entry into the French and Polish markets, signing a deal with Kumbro stadsnät, and securing a record-breaking order in England, indicating a doubling of the total connected sensors compared to the previous quarter. The company's strong position in the European market and robust expansion are reflected in the remarkable sequential (46%) and yearly (217%) increase in connected sensors. With many new partnerships and accelerating order intakes, Netmore is well-positioned to continue on its path of rapid expansion and growth.

Valuation

Following Netmore's Q1 2023 report, we have made minor adjustments to our sales estimates and cost base. Additionally, we anticipate an increase in recurring revenues, which is likely to result in margin expansion. While these adjustments have been made, the overall impact on our valuation is negligible. As a result, we are maintaining our fair value range and base case.

Key financials

SEKm2020202120222023e2024e
Total Revenue32.142.850.775.6155.5
Revenue Growth153%33.5%18.3%49.2%106%
EBITDA-42.6-49.9-48.9-39.717.2
EBIT-57.3-67.1-65.5-53.32.5
EBIT Margin-179%-157%-129%-70.5%1.6%
Net Income-60.3-70.6-66.7-50.920.5
EV/Revenue6.79.86.64.62.1
EV/EBIT-3.7-6.2-5.1-6.6132

Q1 2023: Financial review

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Q1 2023: Financial review

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