STRAX Q2 2023: Still some work to be done

Research Update

2023-08-25

07:00

Strax's recent divestment of 50.1% of its Distribution segment marks a significant move towards streamlining the company's core business focus. Both the Distribution and Own Brands segments reported weak sales this quarter, with North America remaining the company's primary area of concentration.

Fredrik Reuterhäll

Jesper Von Koch

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Review of Q2 2023

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Own Brands in the spotlight

After the divestment, the company will primarily concentrate on its core brands: Urbanista, Clckr, Planet Buddies, and Richmond & Finch. Nevertheless, the Distribution business segment will continue to play a role in generating revenue.

Still things to check off

Returning to Strax's to-do list, there are still things to do. According to management, it should be able to close the divestment of Health & Wellness and Telecom Lifestyle Fashion during the year, at the latest, to start with a clean slate in 2024.
 

Slightly adjustments downward in Base Case

Sales from the Own Brand segment were soft this quarter, leading us to take down our short-term sales projections. However, management anticipates a revitalized market by late 2023, transitioning into 2024, and expects sales momentum to increase as the year progresses. With an anticipated rise in sales and reduced operating expenses, we forecast a positive EBITDA margin of 3.5% in 2024. This upward trajectory is set to persist in the following years, benefiting from the scaling effect and a leaner cost structure.
Our base case value stands at SEK 2.50 (2.8), with a bear case of SEK 1 (0.6) and a more optimistic bull case of SEK5 (6).

Key financials

EURm202120222023e2024e2025e
Revenues123.8104.457.550.860.8
Revenue Growth10.8%-15.6%-44.9%-11.7%19.8%
EBITDA4.7-0.93-1.11.84.0
EBIT2.0-2.6-2.50.513.7
EBIT Margin1.6%-2.4%-4.3%1.0%6.0%
Net Income-1.3-19.6-12.7-6.7-0.98
EV/Revenue0.70.61.11.41.2
EV/EBIT43.9-23.9-25.413520.0

Review of Q2 2023

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Contents

Review of Q2 2023

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