STRAX Q2 2023: Still some work to be done
Research Update
2023-08-25
07:00
Strax's recent divestment of 50.1% of its Distribution segment marks a significant move towards streamlining the company's core business focus. Both the Distribution and Own Brands segments reported weak sales this quarter, with North America remaining the company's primary area of concentration.
Fredrik Reuterhäll
Jesper Von Koch
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Review of Q2 2023
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After the divestment, the company will primarily concentrate on its core brands: Urbanista, Clckr, Planet Buddies, and Richmond & Finch. Nevertheless, the Distribution business segment will continue to play a role in generating revenue.
Returning to Strax's to-do list, there are still things to do. According to management, it should be able to close the divestment of Health & Wellness and Telecom Lifestyle Fashion during the year, at the latest, to start with a clean slate in 2024.
Sales from the Own Brand segment were soft this quarter, leading us to take down our short-term sales projections. However, management anticipates a revitalized market by late 2023, transitioning into 2024, and expects sales momentum to increase as the year progresses. With an anticipated rise in sales and reduced operating expenses, we forecast a positive EBITDA margin of 3.5% in 2024. This upward trajectory is set to persist in the following years, benefiting from the scaling effect and a leaner cost structure.
Our base case value stands at SEK 2.50 (2.8), with a bear case of SEK 1 (0.6) and a more optimistic bull case of SEK5 (6).
EURm | 2021 | 2022 | 2023e | 2024e | 2025e |
Revenues | 123.8 | 104.4 | 57.5 | 50.8 | 60.8 |
Revenue Growth | 10.8% | -15.6% | -44.9% | -11.7% | 19.8% |
EBITDA | 4.7 | -0.93 | -1.1 | 1.8 | 4.0 |
EBIT | 2.0 | -2.6 | -2.5 | 0.51 | 3.7 |
EBIT Margin | 1.6% | -2.4% | -4.3% | 1.0% | 6.0% |
Net Income | -1.3 | -19.6 | -12.7 | -6.7 | -0.98 |
EV/Revenue | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
EV/EBIT | 43.9 | -23.9 | -25.4 | 135 | 20.0 |
Disclosures and disclaimers
Contents
Review of Q2 2023
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