Eniro Group Q2-23: Market challenges ahead, efficiency measures to mitigate impact

Research Update

2023-08-31

07:22

Eniro's second-quarter performance signals potential market weaknesses ahead. Specifically, micro and small businesses in Sweden, a crucial segment for Eniro Group, are facing challenging times. This, coupled with a softening advertising market, compels us to revise our top-line growth projections for upcoming quarters. However, the efficiency program it launched during the quarter should help offset some of the anticipated downturn.

Fredrik Reuterhäll

Mats Hyttinge

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Accelerating and stepping on the break at the same time

Eniro is focusing on new hires within its Marketing Partner division while simultaneously cutting costs, closing offices, and streamlining operations in the Dynava division. Balancing growth investment in one area with cost-cutting measures in another could create organizational unease and challenges in aligning the team toward common goals.

Strong cash flow and a strong balance sheet

During the quarter, Eniro successfully generated an operational cash flow of SEK 12 million, bringing the year-to-date operational cash flow to SEK 32 million. Coupled with a net cash position of SEK 128 million (adjusted for leasing and pension liabilities), this indicates that Eniro is well-equipped to handle market weaknesses.

Valuation: Tough headwind in the short term weight on valuation

We are adjusting our valuation range downward to SEK0.90 to SEK 1.46. Redeye’s Base case is adjusted to SEK1.23 (1.34) due to weaker markets. Eniro Group trades at a EV/Sales of 0.1x a 92% discount to peers and a deep discount of 94% on 2024e EV/EBITDA . Applying an EV/EBITA multiple of 6.5x (still a 44% discount to peers), we derive at a price per share of SEK1.22, in line with our DCF valuation.

Key financials

SEKm20222023e2024e2025e
Revenue Growth12.3%4.2%5.7%4.8%
EBITDA149.044.6139.6168.0
EBIT66.0-33.157.682.1
EBIT Margin7.1%-3.4%5.6%7.7%
Net Income47.0-30.145.865.2
EV/Revenue0.40.20.1-0.1
EV/EBIT5.8-6.21.6-0.8

Q2 2023

Disclosures and disclaimers

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