Vertiseit Q3 2023: Strong Profitability and Cash Flow

Research Note

2023-11-09

08:23

Redeye strengthens its positive view of Vertiseit following a strong Q3, with significant improvements in cash flow and profitability being the highlights. Also, organic ARR growth remains in the solid 20% area.

Fredrik Nilsson

  • ARR grew by 17% y/y and by 21% q/q annualized adjusted for FX. ARR amounted to SEK156.6m, in line with our forecast. The solid number indicates stable demand from Vertiseit’s customers despite softer general macroeconomics.
  • Sales was significantly higher than expected, partly because we did not include the divested MultiQ Transport in our forecasts. However, it is included in the numbers until 19 September. Even adjusting for that, SaaS and Systems likely came in stronger than we expected. Also, gross profit was 24% or SEK12m higher than expected, and we expect the contribution from MulitQ Transport to be much smaller, indicating a strong underlying development.
  • EBITDA – CAPEX, adjusted for the sale of MultiQ Transport and restructuring costs, was SEK12.6m (7.9), corresponding to an EBITDA – CAPEX margin of 13.1% (9.6). That was significantly above the SEK5.4m and 7.9% we forecasted. Adjusted OPEX was higher than expected, partly due to us not including MultiQ Transport. Vertiseit has initiated a cost savings program, aiming to save SEK16m yearly, having full effect in Q1 2024.
  • Cash flow was strong at SEK42m, excluding repayments on debt. Besides a SEK28m contribution from the sale of MultiQ Transport and the strong EBITDA – CAPEX, Vertiseit has also released working capital. As profitability and cash flow have been the main issues in Vertiseit lately, we are encouraged to see significant improvements in the quarter – although Q3 is a seasonally strong quarter margin-wise in SaaS companies.
  • We will probably increase our forecasts somewhat. Considering the soft share price development recently, we expect a relief rally because of the strong profitability and cash flow.

Other external costs, Personnel expenses, and EBITDA - CAPEX are adjusted numbers.

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