Doro: Sales momentum continues with a long-awaited dividend announcement

Research Update

2024-02-16

07:30

Analyst Q&A

Closed

Fredrik Reuterhäll answered 9 questions.

Doro delivered topline growth of 9% Y/Y with a Ebit margin of 9% as Nordics and the UK particular strong in the quarter. Moreover, a SEK2.0 dividend announcement is appriciated by Redeye.

Fredrik Reuterhäll

Niklas Sävås

Demand continues to push top-line

Net sales were up 9% y/y to SEK290m. This was above our estimates of SEK285m. Nordic was particularly strong, 46% y/y to SEK72m. According to the management, the strong sales momentum continued from last quarter. EBIT was SEK26m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 9% (2%).

Strong growth will continue in H1, slower pace is to be expected in H2 2024

Redeye anticipates a combination of good demand for feature phones and easy comparables will push growth into the first half of 2024, with a slower growth rate in the latter part, summing up the 2024 growth rate to 4.5%, which is higher than our previously expected growth rate of 2%. We believe the gross margin will stabilize at 38%, translating to an EBIT margin of 8% for the full year, down from 8.6% in our last update.

Doro's valuation is still attractive, and the dividend yield of 8.2% should attract dividend hunters.

On the back of an anticipated higher growth rate and minor changes in gross margins, which translate into a slightly lower Ebit-margin of 8% (8.6%) for the full year, we adjust the Bull Case upward to SEK 39 (38) and our a base case to SEK30 (27). The Bear Case remains intact at SEK15. Doro trades at an EV/Ebit multiple of 4.2x 2024E. The balance sheet is still very strong, with a net cash position of SEK180. On top of that, a dividend of SEK2.0 translates into a dividend yield of 8.2%. Redeye still believes it presents an attractive investment at these levels.

Key financials

SEKm20232024e2025e2026e
Revenues973.11,016.91,052.51,094.6
Revenue Growth7.0%4.5%3.5%4.0%
EBITDA119.9131.1126.3147.8
EBIT68.280.384.2104.0
EBIT Margin7.0%7.9%8.0%9.5%
Net Income32.055.858.974.6
EV/Revenue0.40.30.30.3
EV/EBIT5.14.23.82.8

Q4 2023

Net sales were up 9% y/y to SEK290m. This was above our estimate of SEK285m. Nordic was particularly strong, 46% y/y to SEK71,6m. According to the management, the strong sales momentum continued from last quarter and accelerated at the end of the quarter. Order intake was down to SEK224, -3.5% from Q3-23 (SEK232m in Q4'22). Gross margin came in at 40%, driven by a good product mix and mitigated freight costs plus positive currency impact. EBIT came in at SEK26m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 9% (2% last year). This was more or less in line with our estimates of SEK27m.

Earning per share (EPS) was SEK0.23 due to a higher adjusted tax rate in the quarter after the divestment of Carium needed to be adjusted for. EPS for the full year is SEK1.32.

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