Doro: Sales momentum continues with a long-awaited dividend announcement
Research Update
2024-02-16
07:30
Analyst Q&A
Closed
Fredrik Reuterhäll answered 9 questions.
Doro delivered topline growth of 9% Y/Y with a Ebit margin of 9% as Nordics and the UK particular strong in the quarter. Moreover, a SEK2.0 dividend announcement is appriciated by Redeye.
Fredrik Reuterhäll
Niklas Sävås
Net sales were up 9% y/y to SEK290m. This was above our estimates of SEK285m. Nordic was particularly strong, 46% y/y to SEK72m. According to the management, the strong sales momentum continued from last quarter. EBIT was SEK26m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 9% (2%).
Redeye anticipates a combination of good demand for feature phones and easy comparables will push growth into the first half of 2024, with a slower growth rate in the latter part, summing up the 2024 growth rate to 4.5%, which is higher than our previously expected growth rate of 2%. We believe the gross margin will stabilize at 38%, translating to an EBIT margin of 8% for the full year, down from 8.6% in our last update.
On the back of an anticipated higher growth rate and minor changes in gross margins, which translate into a slightly lower Ebit-margin of 8% (8.6%) for the full year, we adjust the Bull Case upward to SEK 39 (38) and our a base case to SEK30 (27). The Bear Case remains intact at SEK15. Doro trades at an EV/Ebit multiple of 4.2x 2024E. The balance sheet is still very strong, with a net cash position of SEK180. On top of that, a dividend of SEK2.0 translates into a dividend yield of 8.2%. Redeye still believes it presents an attractive investment at these levels.
SEKm | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e |
Revenues | 973.1 | 1,016.9 | 1,052.5 | 1,094.6 |
Revenue Growth | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
EBITDA | 119.9 | 131.1 | 126.3 | 147.8 |
EBIT | 68.2 | 80.3 | 84.2 | 104.0 |
EBIT Margin | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
Net Income | 32.0 | 55.8 | 58.9 | 74.6 |
EV/Revenue | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
EV/EBIT | 5.1 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
Net sales were up 9% y/y to SEK290m. This was above our estimate of SEK285m. Nordic was particularly strong, 46% y/y to SEK71,6m. According to the management, the strong sales momentum continued from last quarter and accelerated at the end of the quarter. Order intake was down to SEK224, -3.5% from Q3-23 (SEK232m in Q4'22). Gross margin came in at 40%, driven by a good product mix and mitigated freight costs plus positive currency impact. EBIT came in at SEK26m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 9% (2% last year). This was more or less in line with our estimates of SEK27m.
Earning per share (EPS) was SEK0.23 due to a higher adjusted tax rate in the quarter after the divestment of Carium needed to be adjusted for. EPS for the full year is SEK1.32.
Disclosures and disclaimers