Nanexa: NEX-22, partner projects, and Novo Nordisk evaluation prioritized

Research Update

2024-02-22

09:00

Analyst Q&A

Closed

Fredrik Thor answered 3 questions.

Redeye updates its view of Nanexa following the Q4 report and recent events in the company. The report offered no surprises and we reiterate our stance that 2024 will be an important year for the company, as we hope for a breakthrough related to its partner deals and NEX-22 clinical trial.

Fredrik Thor

Q4 2023 – No surprises

Total revenue amounted to SEK14.96m (8m), including 6.8m in turnover and SEK8m in capitalized development costs. Out of the 6.8m in turnover, SEK1.73m related to revenues from Pharmashell evaluation agreements (including Novo Nordisk) and SEK5m related to accrual of deferred revenues from the USD4m exclusivity agreement with Novo Nordisk. OPEX amounted to SEK-66.3m (-25m). The increase in OPEX mainly relates to depreciation of the book value of capitalized development costs related to NEX-18 and NEX-20 of SEK-45m. Nanexa’s cash position amounted to SEK65m, and the company guides for a cash runway until mid-2025.

 Focused approach

We like the company’s focused approach and believe that it should give the company some time to deliver, hopefully, a “full-scale” deal related to the Novo Nordisk evaluation, its other partner projects or possibly related to NEX-22. In the report, the company mentions that it is currently answering some questions related to the application to start a phase I trial with NEX-22, and that study start potentially could be pushed to Q2. However, data is still expected to be presented in H2 this year.
The company is also prioritizing its partnering projects, both the most public one with Novo Nordisk and others.

Reiterated base case

We did a more thorough review of our valuation in relation to the outcome of Nanexa's rights issue and largely reiterate our valuation, only making some model fine tuning with a net-zero effect. We reiterate our base case of SEK3.3 per share.

Key financials

SEKm2021202220232024e2025e
Total Revenue18.028.259.571.315.0
Revenue Growth661%56.4%111%19.8%-78.9%
EBIT-36.0-58.0-76.616.0-39.6
Net Income-36.1-58.6-76.516.0-39.6

Q4 2023 review

  • Total revenue amounted to SEK14.96m (8m), including 6.8m in turnover and SEK8m in capitalized development costs. Out of the 6.8m in turnover, SEK1.73m related to revenues from Pharmashell evaluation agreements (including Novo Nordisk) and SEK5m related to accrual of deferred revenues from the USD4m exclusivity agreement with Novo Nordisk, which was adjusted downwards somewhat. Capitalization mainly relates to investments in NEX-22 and some extent, NEX-20 and Pharmashell.

Disclosures and disclaimers

Premium Plan required to unlock

Unlock companies to access

more high quality research.