Doro: Pushing for growth
Research Update
2024-04-29
07:46
Analyst Q&A
Closed
Fredrik Reuterhäll answered 3 questions.
Doro delivered a soft topline growth but a large part of the softness was due to one-offs. In the quarter the gross margin was very strong and managment was optimistic Doro could deliver a gross margin above 38% going forward. Migration from 3G to 4G continues to fuel growth. Germany remains a key area to support future growth for Doro.
Fredrik Reuterhäll
Niklas Sävås
Contents
Q1 2024
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Net sales were down 6.6% y/y to SEK195m. The UK was the strongest region, growing 6% y/y, while the rest of the regions showed negative growth. Order intake was up to SEK215m, 2.4% from Q1-23. Gross margin came in at 42%, driven by a good product mix. EBIT came in at SEK3.1m, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 2% (2% last year) due to higher OPEX.
Looking ahead, selling expenses for 2024 are projected to rise compared to 2023. Although the new product lines currently represent a small portion of overall sales, management aims for a 10% contribution in the future, albeit with a gradual impact over the next few years helped by higher marketing spending. With Germany, we believe, being a key growth driver, Doro plans to bolster its market share within core products, leveraging the migration from 2G to 4G networks.
We will make smaller downward sales adjustments for 2024 after the soft topline in the quarter. We increase the gross margin by 1 to 2 ppt after management's optimistic view on profitability. Our valuation range is still between SEK16 and SEK39. However, we adjust our Base Case from SEK30 to SEK29. Doro trades at an EV/Ebit multiple of 5.7x 2025E. The balance sheet is very strong, with a net cash position of SEK184m. Redeye still believes it presents an attractive investment at these levels with a potential upside of c30% to our Base Case.
SEKm | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e |
Revenues | 973.1 | 957.2 | 995.5 | 1,035.3 |
Revenue Growth | 7.0% | -1.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
EBITDA | 119.9 | 103.3 | 106.3 | 139.9 |
EBIT | 68.2 | 55.0 | 66.3 | 98.4 |
EBIT Margin | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% |
Net Income | 32.0 | 57.3 | 44.7 | 70.2 |
EV/Sales | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
EV/EBIT | 5.1 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 |
Disclosures and disclaimers
Contents
Q1 2024
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